For a loaded die, the probabilities of outcomes are given as under:
P (1) = P (2) = 0.2, P (3) = P (5) = P (6) = 0.1 and P (4) = 0.3.
The die is thrown two times. Let A and B be the events, same number each time and a total score is 10 or more respectively. Determine whether or not A and B are independent.
Given that for a loaded die-
P (1) = P (2) = 0.2, P (3) = P (5) = P (6) = 0.1 and P (4) = 0.3
And given that die is thrown two times and A is the event of same number each time
B is the event of a total score is 10 or more.
So,
A = {(1,1), (2,2), (3,3), (4,4), (5,5), (6,6)}
P(A)= [P (1,1) +P (2,2) +P (3,3) + P (4,4) + P (5,5) + P (6,6)]
P(A)= [P (1) × P (1) + P (2) × P (2) + P (3) × P (3) + P (4) × P (4) +P (5) × P (5) + P (6) × P (6)]
P(A)= [0.2×0.2+ 0.2×0.2+ 0.1×0.1+0.3×0.3+ 0.1×0.1+ 0.1
×0.1]
P(A)= [0.04+ 0.04+ 0.01+ 0.09+ 0.01+0.01]
P(A)= [0.20]
&
B= EVENT OF TOTAL SCORE IS 10 OR MORE
B= {(4,6), (5,5), (5,6), (6,4), (6,5), (6,6)}
P(B)= [P (4,6) + P (5,5) + P (5,6) + P (6,4) + P (6,5) + P (6,6)]
P(B)= [P (4) ×P (6) + P (5) ×P (5) + P (5) ×P (6) + P (6) ×P (4) + P (6) ×P (5) + P (6) ×P (6)]
P(B)= [0.3×0.1+ 0.1×0.1+ 0.1×0.1+ 0.1×0.3+ 0.1×0.1+ 0.1×0.1]
P(B)= [0.03+ 0.01+ 0.01+ 0.03+ 0.01+ 0.01]
P(B)= [0.10]
ALSO, probability of an intersection B (i.e. both the events occur simultaneously)
A Ո B = {(5,5), (6,6)}
HENCE,
P (A Ո B) = P (5,5) + P (6,6)
P (A Ո B) = P (5) × P (5) + P (6) ×P (6)
P (A Ո B) = 0.1×0.1+ 0.1×0.1
P (A Ո B) = 0.01+0.01
P (A Ո B) = 0.02
We know that if two events are independent than
P (A Ո B) = P(A) P(B)
HERE,
P(A). P(B)= 0.20× 0.10 = 0.02
SO, P (A Ո B) = P(A) P(B)
Hence, A and B are independent events.
Refer to Exercise 1 above. If the die were fair, determine whether or not the events A and B are independent
Given-
A= {(1,1), (2,2), (3,3), (4,4), (5,5), (6,6)}
So, n(A)= 6, n(S)= (6)2= 36
∴
And B = {(4,6), (5,5), (5,6), (6,4), (6,5), (6,6)}
n(B)= 6
∴
AՈB = [(5,5), (6,6)]
∴
Thus,
P (A Ո B) ≠ P(A). P(B)
So, A and B are not independent events.
The probability that at least one of the two events A and B occurs is 0.6. If A and B occur simultaneously with probability 0.3, evaluate .
Given that
probability that at least one of the two events A and B occurs is 0.6 i.e. P(AՍB) = 0.6
& The probability that A and B occur simultaneously is 0.3 i.e. P(AՈB) = 0.3
We know that:
P(AՍB) = P(A)+ P(B) – P(AՈB)
0.6 = P(A)+ P(B) – 0.3
P(A)+ P(B) = 0.6+ 0.3 = 0.9
We have to find
So,
A bag contains 5 red marbles and 3 black marbles. Three marbles are drawn one by one without replacement. What is the probability that at least one of the three marbles drawn be black, if the first marble is red?
Given that bag contains 5 red marbles and 3 black marbles
For at least one of the three marbles drawn be black, if the first marble is red
Then the following three conditions will be followed
(i) Second marble is black and third is red = E1
(ii) Second and third, both marbles are black = E2
(iii) Second marble is red and third marble is black = E3
Let event Rn = drawing red marble in nth draw
And event Bn = drawing black marble in nth draw
And
Required probability, P(E)= P(E1) + P(E2) + P(E3)
Two dice are thrown together and the total score is noted. The events E, F and G are ‘a total of 4’, ‘a total of 9 or more’, and ‘a total divisible by 5’, respectively. Calculate P(E), P(F) and P(G) and decide which pairs of events, if any, are independent.
Given that two dice are drawn together i.e. n(S)= 36
Where S is sample space
Also given that
E = a of total 4
∴E = {(2,2), (3,1), (1,3)}
∴n(E) = 3
And F= a total of 9 or more
∴ F = {(3,6), (6,3), (4,5), (5,4), (6,4), (4,6), (6,5), (6,6), (5,5), (5,6)}
∴n(F)=10
And,
G = a total divisible by 5
∴ G = {(1,4), (4,1), (2,3), (3,2), (4,6), (6,4), (5,5)}
∴ n(G) = 7
Here, (E Ո F) = φ AND (E Ո G) = φ
Also, (F Ո G) = {(4,6), (6,4), (5,5)}
n (F Ո G) = 3 and (E Ո F Ո G) = φ
And,
So,
P (F Ո G) ≠ P(F). P(G)
hence, there is no pair which is independent
Explain why the experiment of tossing a coin three times is said to have binomial distribution.
Let p and q denote the events of failure and success, respectively.
We know that, a random variable X (=0,1, 2,…., n) is said to have Binomial parameters n and p, if its probability distribution is given by
Where, q = 1-p
And r =0,1,2,…..n
In an experiment of tossing a coin three times, we have n=3 and random variable X can take values r =0,1,2 and 3 with and
So, we see that in the experiment of tossing a coin three times, we have random variable X which can take values 0,1,2 and 3 with parameters n=3 ad
Hence tossing of a coin 3 times is a Binomial distribution.
A and B are two events such that and .
Find:
(i) P(A|B) (ii) P(B|A) (iii) P(A’|B) (iv) P(A’|B’)
Given,
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
Three events A, B and C have probabilities , respectively. Given that and , find the values of P (C | B) and P (A'∩ C').
GIVEN THAT
AND,
AND
By De Morgan’s laws:
P (A'∩ C') = P(A Ս C)’
= 1- P (A Ս C)
= 1-[P(A)+ P(C)- P (A Ո C)]
Let E1 and E2 be two independent events such that p(E1) = p1 and P(E2) = p2.
Describe in words of the events whose probabilities are
(i)P1P2
(ii)(1-P1-2) P2
(iii)1-(1-P1) (1-P2)
(iv)P1+P2-2P1P2
Given that P(E1) =P1 and P(E2) =P2
(i)P1P2
=P(E1). P(E2) =P (E1 Ո E2)
So, E1 and E2 occur simultaneously.
(ii)(1-P1) P2
As we know P(A)+P(A)’ = 1
=P(E1)’. P(E2)
= P (E1’ Ո E2)
So, E1 does not occur but E2 occur.
(iii)1-(1-P1) (1-P2)
As we know P(A)+P(A)’ = 1
=1-P(E1)’P(E2)’
=1-P (E1’ Ո E2’)
By De Morgan’s laws:
=1-P (E1 Ս E2)’
As we know P(A)+P(A)’ = 1
= 1- [1-P (E1 Ս E2)]
= P (E1 Ս E2)
So, either E1 or E2 or both E1 and E2 occurs.
(iv)P1+P2-2P1P2
= P(E1) + P(E2) – 2P(E1) P(E2)
= P(E1) + P(E2) – 2P (E1 Ո E2)
= P (E1 Ս E2)- 2P (E1 Ո E2)
So, either E1 or E2 occurs but not both.
A discrete random variable X has the probability distribution given as below:
(i) Find the value of k
(ii) Determine the mean of the distribution.
Given table—
(i) We know that , where pi ≥0
P1+ P2+ P3+ P4 = 1
k+ k2+2k2+ k = 1
3k2 + 2k -1= 0
3k2 + 3k- k- 1 = 0
3k(k+1) -1 (k+1) = 0
Since, k≥ 0, we take
(ii)
= 0.5(k)+ 1(k2) + 1.5(2k2) + 2(k)
= 4k2 + 2.5k
prove that
(i) P(A)= P(AՈB) + P(AՈ)
(ii) P(AՍB) = P(AՈB) + P(AՈ) + P(ՈB)
(i)
WE HAVE TO PROVE,
P(A)= P(AՈB) + P(AՈ)
We know A = AՈS
We can write s = A Ս A’ and s = B Ս B’
So,
A = A Ո (B Ս B’)
= (A Ո B) Ս (A Ո B’)
Two events are mutually exclusive or disjoint if they cannot both occur at the same time.
(A Ո B) means A and B both occurring at the same time while (A Ո B’) means A and B’ both occurring at the same time.
So, it is not possible that (A Ո B) and (A Ո B’) occur at the same time.
Hence (A Ո B) and (A Ո B’) are mutually exclusive.
When events are mutually exclusive then P (A Ո B) = 0
∴ P[(A Ո B) Ո (A Ո B’)] = 0 ….. (1)
So, A = A Ո (B Ս B’)
As we know P (A Ս B) = P (A) + P(B) - P (A Ո B)
P(A) = P [(A Ո B) Ս (A Ո B’)]
= P (A Ո B) + P (A Ո B’) – P [(A Ո B) Ո (A Ո B’)]
From (1),
P(A) = P(AՈB) + P(AՈ)
Hence proved
(ii)WE HAVE TO PROVE, P(AՍB) = P(AՈB) + P(AՈ) + P(ՈB)
AՍB means the all the possible outcomes of both A and B.
From the Venn diagram we can see,
AՍB = (AՈB) Ս (AՈ) Ս (ՈB)
Two events are mutually exclusive or disjoint if they cannot both occur at the same time.
(A Ո B) means A and B both occurring at the same time while (A Ո B’) means A and B’ both occurring at the same time.
(ՈB) means A’ and B both occurring at the same time.
So, it is not possible that (A Ո B), (A Ո B’) and (ՈB) occur at the same time.
Hence (A Ո B), (A Ո B’) and (ՈB) are mutually exclusive.
When events are mutually exclusive then P (A Ո B) = 0
P [(A Ո B) Ո (A Ո B’)] =0 ….. (1)
P [(A Ո B’) Ո P(ՈB)] = 0 ….. (2)
P [(A Ո B) Ո P(ՈB)] = 0 ….. (3)
P [(A Ո B) Ո (A Ո B’) Ո P(ՈB)] = 0 …. (4)
P(AՍB) = P[(AՈB) Ս (AՈ) Ս (ՈB)]
We know,
P(A ∪ B ∪ C) = P(A) + P(B) + P(C) − P(A ∩ B) − P(A ∩ C) − P(B ∩ C) + P(A ∩ B ∩ C)
So,
P(AՍB) = P[(AՈB) Ս (AՈ) Ս (ՈB)] = P(AՈB) + P(AՈ) + P(ՈB) – P[(AՈB) ∩ (AՈ] – P[(AՈB) ∩ (ՈB)]− P[(AՈ) ∩ (ՈB)] + P [(A Ո B) Ո (A Ո B’) Ո P(ՈB)]
From (1), (2), (3) and(4) we get,
P(AՍB) = P(AՈB) + P(AՈ) + P(ՈB)
Hence proved.
If X is the number of tails in three tosses of a coin, determine the standard deviation of X.
Given that, Radom variable X is the member of tails in three tosses of a coin
So, X= 0,1,2,3
Where n=3, and x= 0,1,2,3
We know that, Var (X)= E(X2)- [E(X)]2 ……(i)
Where, E(X2) =
=3
And
Putting the values of E(X)2 and [E(X)]2 in equation (i), we get:
And standard deviation of
In a dice game, a player pays a stake of Re1 for each throw of a die. She receives Rs 5 if the die shows a 3, Rs 2 if the die shows a 1 or 6, and nothing otherwise. What is the player’s expected profit per throw over a long series of throws?
Let X is the random variable of profit per throw.
Probability of getting any number on dice is .
Since, she loss Rs 1 on getting any of 2, 4 or 5.
So, at X= -1,
P(X) = P (2) +P(4) +P(5)
Similarly, =1 if dice shows of either 1 or 6.
P(X) = P (1) +P (6)
and at X=4 if die shows a 3
P(X) = P (3)
∴ Player’s expected profit = E(X)= XP(X)
Three dice are thrown at the same time. Find the probability of getting three twos’, if it is known that the sum of the numbers on the dice was six.
As three dice are thrown at the same time, so we have sample space [n(S)] = 63= 216
Let E1 is the event when the sum of numbers on the dice was six and E2 is the event when three twos occurs.
E1= {(1,1,4), (1,2,3), (1,3,2), (1,4,1), (2,1,3), (2,2,2,), (2,3,1), (3,1,2), (3,2,1), (4,1,1)}
n(E1) =10 and E2 {2,2,2}
n(E2) =1
Also, (E1 Ո E2) = 1
Suppose 10,000 tickets are sold in a lottery each for Re 1. First prize is of Rs 3000 and the second prize is of Rs. 2000. There are three third prizes of Rs. 500 each. If you buy one ticket, what is your expectation.
Let X variable for the prize.
There is possibility of winning nothing, Rs 500,Rs 2000 and Rs 3000.
So, X will take these values.
Since there are 3 third prizes of 500 probability of winning third prize is .
1 first prize of 3000 probability of winning third prize is .
1 second prize of 2000 probability of winning third prize is .
Since, E(X)= X(PX)
A bag contains 4 white and 5 black balls. Another bag contains 9 white and 7 black balls. A ball is transferred from the first bag to the second and then a ball is drawn at random from the second bag. Find the probability that the ball drawn is white.
Given that-
W1= [4 white balls] and B1 = [5 black balls]
And W2= [9 white balls] and B2= [7 black balls]
Let E1 is event that the ball transferred from the first bag is white and E2 is the event that the ball transferred from the bag is black.
Also, E is the event that the ball drawn from the second bag is white.
And
P(E)=P (E1). P (E|E1) +P (E2). P(E|E2)
Bag I contains 3 black and 2 white balls, Bag II contains 2 black and 4 white balls. A bag and a ball are selected at random. Determine the probability of selecting a black ball.
Given that
Bag I= [3Black, 2White], Bag II= [2 black, 4 white]
Let E1= event that bag I is selected
E2= event that bag II is selected
E3= event that a black ball is selected
∴P(E)= P(E1). P(E|E1) +P(E2). P(E|E2)
A box has 5 blue and 4 red balls. One ball is drawn at random and not replaced. Its colour is also not noted. Then another ball is drawn at random. What is the probability of second ball being blue?
Given that box has 5 blue and 4 red balls.
Let E1 is the event that first ball drawn is blue, E2 is the event that the first ball drawn is red and E is the event that second ball drawn is blue.
∴P(E)= P(E1). P(E|E1) + P(E2). P(E|E2)
Four cards are successively drawn without replacement from a deck of 52 playing cards. What is the probability that all the four cards are kings?
Let E1, E2, E3 and E4 are the events that the first, second, third and fourth card is king respectively.
As there are 4 kings,
when 1 king is taken out kings left are 3 and total cards will be 51.
So, probability of drawing a king when one king has been taken out is:
Now when 2 kings taken out 2 kings are left, and 50 cards are there.
So, probability of drawing a king when two kings have been taken out is:
Now when 3 kings taken out 1 king is left, and 49 cards are there.
So, probability of drawing a king when three kings have been taken out is:
Probability that all 4 cards are king is:
∴P (E1 Ո E2 Ո E3 Ո E4) = p(E1). P(E2|E1). P (E3|E1 Ո E2). P [E4|(E1 ՈE2 Ո E3 ՈE4)]
=
A die is thrown 5 times. Find the probability that an odd number will come up exactly three times.
Given that,
n=5,
Odd numbers = 1,3,5
and
also, r=3
Ten coins are tossed. What is the probability of getting at least 8 heads?
Let X be the random variable for getting a head.
Here, n=10, r≥8
r=8,9,10
We know that,
∴P(X=r) = P(r=8) + P(r=9)÷P(r=10)
The probability of a man hitting a target is 0.25. He shoots 7 times. What is the probability of his hitting at least twice?
Given that man shoots 7 times, so n=7
And probability of hitting target
Where,
∴P(X=r≥2) =1-[p(r=0) +P(r=1)]
A lot of 100 watches is known to have 10 defective watches. If 8 watches are selected (one by one with replacement) at random, what is the probability that there will be at least one defective watch?
given that 10 defective watches in 100 watches
probability of defective watch from a lot of 100 watch
∴
We know
Consider the probability distribution of a random variable X:
Calculate (i) (ii) Variance of X.
We have
Var(X)=E(X2)-[E(X)]2
Where,
And
∴0+0.25+0.6+0.6+0.60= 2.05
And E(X)2=0+0.25+1.2+1.8+2.40=5.65
(i)
As we know Var(ax) = a2 var(x)
(ii) V(X)
Var(X)=E(X2)-[E(X)]2
= 5.65 – (2.05)2
= 5.65 - 4.2025
= 1.4475
The probability distribution of a random variable X is given below:
(i) Determine the value of k.
(ii) Determine P (X ≤ 2) and P (X > 2)
(iii) Find P (X ≤ 2) + P (X > 2).
We have
(i) Since,
8k+ 4k+ 2k+ k= 8
(ii)
(iii)
For the following probability distribution determine standard deviation of the random variable X.
We have,
We know that standard deviation of
Where, Var =E(X2)-[E(X)]2
∴VarX= [0.8+ 4.5+ 4.8]- [0.5+1.5+1.2]2
=10.1-(3.1)2
=10.1-9.61
=0.49
∴standard deviation of
A biased die is such that P (4) = 1/10 and other scores being equally likely. The die is tossed twice. If X is the ‘number of fours seen’, find the variance of the random variable X.
Since, X= number of four seen
On tossing to die, X=0,1,2
Also, and
So,
Thus, we get following table 1207110331
∴Var(X)=E(X)2-[E(X)2] =X2P(x)-[XP(X)]2
A die is thrown three times. Let X be ‘the number of twos seen’. Find the expectation of X.
Given that, X= no. of twos seen
So, on throwing a die three times, we will have X=0,1,2,3
P(X=1) = Pnot 2. Pnot 2. P2 + P 2. P2. Pnot 2 + P 2. Pnot 2. P 2
P(X=2) =Pnot 2. P2. P2 + Pnot 2. P2. P2 + P2. Pnot 2.P2
We know that,
Two biased dice are thrown together. For the first die P (6) = 1/2. the other scores being equally likely while for the second die, P (1) = 2/5 and the other scores are equally likely. Find the probability distribution of ‘the number of ones seen’.
Given-
For first die, and
[∵ P(1)=P(2)=P(3)=P(4)=P(5)]
For second die
Let X= number of one’s seen
For X=0,
=0.04
Hence, the required probability distribution is as below
Two probability distributions of the discrete random variable X and Y are given below.
Prove that E(Y)2=2E(X).
Since, we have to prove that, E(Y2) =2E(X) -----(i)
Taking LHS of equation (i), we have:
E(Y)2= Y2P(Y)
=
……(ii)
Now taking RHS of equation (i) we get:
E(X)= XP(X)
……..(iii)
Thus, from equations (ii) and (iii), we get:
E(Y2) =2E(X)
Hence proved.
A factory produces bulbs. The probability that any one bulb is defective is 1/50 and they are packed in boxes of 10. From a single box, find the probability that
(i) none of the bulbs is defective
(ii) exactly two bulbs are defective
(iii) more than 8 bulbs work properly
Let X is the random variable which denotes that a bulb is defective.
Also, n =10, and
(i)None of the bulbs is defective i.e., r=0
(ii)Exactly two bulbs are defective i.e., r=2
(iii)More than 8 bulbs work properly i.e., there is less than 2 bulbs which are defective.
So, r<2 r=0,1
∴P(X=r) =P(r<2) =P (0) +P (1)
=+
Suppose you have two coins which appear identical in your pocket. You know that one is fair and one is 2-headed. If you take one out, toss it and get a head, what is the probability that it was a fair coin?
Let E1= event that fair coin is drawn
E2 = event that two headed coin is drawn
E= event that tossed coin get a head
∴
Using Bayes’ theorem, we have
Suppose that 6% of the people with blood group O are left handed and 10% of those with other blood groups are left handed 30% of the people have blood group O. If a left-handed person is selected at random, what is the probability that he/she will have blood group O?
Given condition can be represented as below:
Let E1 = event that the person selected is of group O
E2= event that the person selected is of other than blood group O
And E3= event that selected person is left handed
∴P(E1) =0.30, P(E2) =0.70
P(E3|E1) = 0.60 And P(E3|E2) =0.10
Using baye’s theorem, we have:
Two natural numbers r, s are drawn one at a time, without replacement from the set S= {1, 2, 3, ...., n}. Find P [r ≤ p|s ≤ p], where p ∈ S.
The notation P [r ≤ p| s ≤ p]
means
P (r ≤p) *given that s ≤ p
Since we're told s ≤ p , then it means s is drawn first.
Let we have n numbers before s is drawn:
(1 . . s …. . p . . .. n)
After s is drawn,
[ 1 ... p] has one element missing, so there are (p-1) elements.
Also, the entire set has one element missing, so there are (n-1) altogether.
P(r is among p – 1 elements )
Among (1 . . s …. . p) the probability of drawing s is .
Now,
P [r ≤ p|s ≤ p] is the probability that r ≤ p when s ≤ p.
So,
Find the probability distribution of the maximum of the two scores obtained when a die is thrown twice. Determine also the mean of the distribution.
Let X is the random variable score obtained when a die is thrown twice.
∴ X= 1,2,3,4,5,6
Here,
S= {(1,1), (1,2) (2,1) (2,2) (1,3) (,3) (3,1) (3,2) (3,3),. (6,6)}
Similarly,
So, the required distribution is,
Also, we know that,
The random variable X can take only the values 0, 1, 2. Given that P (X = 0) = P (X = 1) = p and that E(X2) = E[X], find the value of p.
Given that-
X=0,1,2 and P(X) at X=0 and 1,
Let at X=2, P(X) is x.
p+p+x=1
x=1-2p
We get the following distribution
∴E(X)= XP(X)
= 0×P + 1×P+ 2(1-2P)
= P+2-4P = 2-3P
And E(X)2= X2 P(X)
= 0×P+ 1× P+ 4×(1-2P)
= P+4-8P=4-7P
Also, given that E(X2) =E(X)
4-7p= 2-3p
4p=2
Find the variance of the distribution:
We have,
∴ Variance= E(X)2 – [E(X)]2 = X2P(X)- [XP(X)]2
A and B throw a pair of dice alternately. A wins the game if he gets a total of 6 and B wins if she gets a total of 7. It A starts the game, find the probability of winning the game by A in third throw of the pair of dice.
According to question, A and B throw a pair of dice alternately.
A wins if he gets a total of 6
∴ A = {(2,4), (1,5), (5,1), (4,2), (3,3)}
And B wins if she gets a total of 7
∴B = {(2,5), (1,6), (6,1), (5,2), (3,4), (4,3)}
Let P(B) is the probability, if A wins in a throw
And P(B) is the probability, if B wins in a throw
∴probability of winning the game by A in third throw
Two dice are tossed. Find whether the following two events A and B are independent:
A = {(x, y): x+y = 11} and B = {(x, y): x ≠ 5}
where (x, y) denotes a typical sample point.
We Have, A= {(x, y):x+y=11}
And B= {(x, y): x≠5}
∴ A = {(5,6), (6,5)}
B= {(1,1), (1,2), (1,3), (1,4), ((1,5), (1,6), (2,1), (2,2), (2,3), (2,4), (2,5), (2,6), (3,1), (3,2), (3,3), (3,4), (3,5), (3,6), (4,1), (4,2), (4,3), (4,4), (4,5), (4,6), (5,1), (5,2), (5,3), (5,4), (5,5), (5,6), (6,1), (6,2), (6,3), (6,4), (6,5), (6,6)}
n(A)=2, n(B)= 30, n(AՈB) = 1
∴
So, A and B are not independent.
An urn contains m white and n black balls. A ball is drawn at random and is put back into the urn along with k additional balls of the same colour as that of the ball drawn. A ball is again drawn at random. Show that the probability of drawing a white ball now does not depend on k.
Given that an urn contains m white and n black balls.
Let E1 = first ball drawn of white colour
E2= first ball drawn of black colour
And E3= second ball drawn of white colour
∴
Also,
Using the probability theorem, we have:
∴P(E3) = P(E1). P () +P(E2).
Hence, the probability of drawing a white ball does not depend on k.
Three bags contain a number of red and white balls as follows:
Bag 1: 3 red balls, Bag 2 : 2 red balls and 1 white ball
Bag 3: 3 white balls.
The probability that bag i will be chosen and a ball is selected from it is i|6, i = 1, 2, 3. What is the probability that
(i) a red ball will be selected? (ii) a white ball is selected?
Let E1, E2, and E3 be the events that Bag 1, Bag 2 and Bag 3 is selected, and a ball is chosen from it.
Bag 1: 3 red balls,
Bag 2: 2 red balls and 1 white ball
Bag 3: 3 white balls.
As The probability that bag i will be chosen and a ball is selected from it is i|6.
The Law of Total Probability:
In a sample space S, let E1,E2,E3…….En be n mutually exclusive and exhaustive events associated with a random experiment. If A is any event which occurs with E1,E2,E3…….En, then
P(A) = P(E1)P(A/E1)+ P(E2)P(A/E2)+ …… P(En)P(A/En)
(i) Let “E” be the event that a red ball is selected.
P(E|E1) is the probability that red ball is chosen from the bag 1.
P(E|E2) is the probability that red ball is chosen from the bag 2.
P(E|E3) is the probability that red ball is chosen from the bag 3.
So,
As red ball can be selected from Bag 1, Bag 2 and Bag 3.
So, probability of choosing a red ball is the sum of individual probabilities of choosing the red from the given bags.
From the law of total probability,
P(E) = P(E1) × P(E|E1) + P(E2) × P(E|E2) + P(E3) × P(E|E3)
(ii) Let F be the event that a white ball is selected.
So, P(F|E1) is the probability that white ball is chosen from the bag 1.
P(F|E2) is the probability that white ball is chosen from the bag 2.
P(F|E3) is the probability that white ball is chosen from the bag 2.
P(F|E1) = 0
As white ball can be selected from Bag 1, Bag 2 and Bag 3.
So, probability of choosing a white ball is the sum of individual probabilities of choosing the red from the given bags.
P(F) = P(E1) × P(F|E1) + P(E2) × P(F|E2) + P(E3) × P(F|E3)
Refer to Question 41 above. If a white ball is selected, what is the probability that it came from
(i) Bag 2 (ii) Bag 3
Referring to the previous solution, using Bayes theorem, we have
Let E1, E2, and E3 be the events that Bag 1, Bag 2 and Bag 3 is selected, and a ball is chosen from it.
Bag 1: 3 red balls,
Bag 2: 2 red balls and 1 white ball
Bag 3: 3 white balls.
As The probability that bag i will be chosen and a ball is selected from it is i|6.
Let F be the event that a white ball is selected.
So, P(F|E1) is the probability that white ball is chosen from the bag 1.
P(F|E2) is the probability that white ball is chosen from the bag 2.
P(F|E3) is the probability that white ball is chosen from the bag 2.
P(F|E1) = 0
We have to find the probability that if white ball is selected it is selected from:
(i) Bag 2
We use Bayes’ theorem to find the probability of occurrence of an event A when event B has already occurred.
P(E2|F) is the probability that white ball is selected from bag 2.
(ii)Bag 3
We use Bayes’ theorem to find the probability of occurrence of an event A when event B has already occurred.
P(E3|F) is the probability that white ball is selected from bag 2.
Using Bayes’ theorem, we get the probability of P(E3|F) as:
A shopkeeper sells three types of flower seeds A1, A2 and A3. They are sold as a mixture where the proportions are 4:4:2 respectively. The germination rates of the three types of seeds are 45%, 60% and 35%. Calculate the probability
(i) of a randomly chosen seed to germinate
(ii) that it will not germinate given that the seed is of type A3,
(iii) that it is of the type A2 given that a randomly chosen seed does not germinate.
Here, A1, A2, and A3 denote the three types of flower seeds.
and A1: A2: A3 = 4: 4 : 2
Total outcomes = 10
So,
Let E be the event that a seed germinates and E’ be the event that
a seed does not germinate.
Now P(E|A1) is the probability that seed germinates when it is seed A1.
P(E’|A1) is the probability that seed will not germinate when it is seed A1.
P(E|A2) is the probability that seed germinates when it is seed A2.
P(E’|A2) is the probability that seed will not germinate when it is seed A2.
P(E|A3) is the probability that seed germinates when it is seed A3.
P(E’|A3) is the probability that seed will not germinate when it is seed A3.
and
The Law of Total Probability:
In a sample space S, let E1, E2, E3……. En be n mutually exclusive and exhaustive events associated with a random experiment. If A is any event which occurs with E1, E2, E3……. En, then
P(A) = P(E1) P(A|E1) + P(E2) P(A|E2) + …… P(En)P(A|En)
(i) Probability of a randomly chosen seed to germinate.
It can be either seed A, B or C.
So,
From law of total probability,
P(E) = P(A1) × P(E|A1) + P(A2) × P(E|A2) + P(A3) × P(E|A3)
= 0.49
(ii) that it will not germinate given that the seed is of type A3
As we know P(A) + P(A’) =1
P(E’|A3) = 1 – P(E|A3)
(iii) that it is of the type A2 given that a randomly chosen seed does not germinate.
We use Bayes’ theorem to find the probability of occurrence of an event A when event B has already occurred.
A letter is known to have come either from TATA NAGAR or from CALCUTTA. On the envelope, just two consecutive letter TA are visible. What is the probability that the letter came from TATA NAGAR.
Let events E1, E2 be the following:
E1 be the event that letter is from TATA NAGAR and E2 be the event that letter is from CALCUTTA
Let E be the event that on the letter, two consecutive letters TA are visible.
Since, the letter has come either from CALCUTTA or TATA NAGAR
When two consecutive letters are visible in the case of TATA NAGAR, we have following set of possible consecutive letters
{TA, AT, TA, AN, NA, AG, GA, AR}
In the case of CALCUTTA, we have following set of possible consecutive letters
{CA, AL, LC, CU, UT, TT, TA}
So, P(E|E1) is the probability that two consecutive letters are visible when letter came from TATA NAGAR
P(E|E2) is the probability that two consecutive letters are visible when letter came from CALCUTTA
We have to find the probability that the letter came from TATA NAGAR.
We use Bayes’ theorem to find the probability of occurrence of an event A when event B has already occurred.
∴
P(E|E1) is the probability that the letter came from TATA NAGAR
There are two bags, one of which contains 3 black and 4 white balls while the other contains 4 black and 3 white balls. A die is thrown. If it shows up 1 or 3, a ball is taken from the Ist bag; but it shows up any other number, a ball is chosen from the second bag. Find the probability of choosing a black ball.
Given: there are 2 bags –
Bag 1: 3 black and 4 white balls
Bag 2: 4 black and 3 white balls
Total balls = 7
Let events E1, E2 be the following:
E1 be the event that bag 1 is selected and E2 be the event that bag 2 is selected
It is given that a die is thrown.
So, total outcomes = 6
The Law of Total Probability:
In a sample space S, let E1,E2,E3…….En be n mutually exclusive and exhaustive events associated with a random experiment. If A is any event which occurs with E1,E2,E3…….En, then
P(A) = P(E1)P(A/E1)+ P(E2)P(A/E2)+ …… P(En)P(A/En)
Let “E” be the event that black ball is chosen.
P(E|E1) is the probability that black ball is chosen from the bag 1.
P(E|E2) is the probability that black ball is chosen from the bag 2.
So,
So, probability of choosing a black ball is the sum of individual probabilities of choosing the black from the given bags.
From the law of total probability,
P(E) = P(E1) × P(E|E1) + P(E2) × P(E|E2)
There are three urns containing 2 white and 3 black balls, 3 white and 2 black balls, and 4 white and 1 black balls, respectively. There is an equal probability of each urn being chosen. A ball is drawn at random from the chosen urn and it is found to be white. Find the probability that the ball drawn was from the second urn.
There are 3 urns U1, U2 and U3
U1 = 2 white and 3 black balls
U2 = 3 white and 2 black balls
U3 = 4 white and 1 black balls
Total balls = 5
As there is an equal probability of each urn being chosen
Let E1, E2 and E3 be the event that a ball is chosen from an urn U1,
U2 and U3 respectively.
Now, let A be the event that white ball is drawn.
P(A|E1) is the probability that white ball is chosen from urn U1
P(A|E2) is the probability that white ball is chosen from urn U2
P(A|E3) is the probability that white ball is chosen from urn U3
Now, we have to find the probability that the ball is drawn was from
U2.
We use Bayes’ theorem to find the probability of occurrence of an event A when event B has already occurred.
∴
P(E2|A) is the probability that white ball is selected from urn U2.
By examining the chest X ray, the probability that TB is detected when a person is actually suffering is 0.99. The probability of an healthy person diagnosed to have TB is 0.001. In a certain city, 1 in 1000 people suffers from TB. A person is selected at random and is diagnosed to have TB. What is the probability that he actually has TB?
Let events E1, E2, E3 be the following:
E1 be the event that person has TB and E2 be the event that the person does not have TB
Total persons = 1000
So,
Now, Let E be the event that the person is diagnosed to have TB
P(E|E1) is the probability that TB is detected when a person is actually suffering
P(E|E2) the probability of an healthy person diagnosed to have TB
So, P(E|E1) = 0.99 and P(E|E2) = 0.001
Now, we have to find the probability that the person actually has TB
We use Bayes’ theorem to find the probability of occurrence of an event A when event B has already occurred.
∴
P(E1|E) is the probability that person actually has TB
[Divide by 9 both numerator and denominator]
An item is manufactured by three machines A, B and C. Out of the total number of items manufactured during a specified period, 50% are manufactured on A, 30% on B and 20% on C. 2% of the items produced on A and 2% of items produced on B are defective, and 3% of these produced on C are defective. All the items are stored at one go down. One item is drawn at random and is found to be defective. What is the probability that it was manufactured on machine A?
Let events E1, E2, E3 be the following:
E1: event that item is manufactured by machine A
E2: event that item is manufactured by machine B
E3: event that item is manufactured by machine C
Clearly, E1, E2 and E3 are mutually exclusive and exhaustive events and hence, they represent a partition of sample space.
Given that:
Items manufactured on machine A = 50%
Items manufactured on machine B = 30%
Items manufactured on machine C = 20%
So,
Now, Let E be the event that ‘an item is defective’.
P(E|E1) is the probability of the item drawn is defective given that it is manufactured on machine A = 2%
P(E|E2) is the probability of the item drawn is defective given that it is manufactured on machine B = 2%
P(E|E3) is the probability of the item drawn is defective given that it is manufactured on machine C = 3%
So,
Now, we have to find the probability that the item which is picked
up is defective, it was manufactured on machine A
We use Bayes’ theorem to find the probability of occurrence of an event A when event B has already occurred.
∴
P(E1|E) is the probability that the item is drawn is defective and it was manufactured on machine A
Let X be a discrete random variable whose probability distribution is defined as follows:
where k is a constant. Calculate
(i) the value of k (ii) E (X) (iii) Standard deviation of X.
Given:
Thus, we have the probability distribution of X is
(i) the value of k
We know that,
Sum of the probabilities = 1
∴ 2k + 3k + 4k + 5k + 10k + 12k + 14k = 1
⇒ 50k = 1
⇒ k = 0.02
(ii) To find: E(X)
The probability distribution of X is:
Therefore,
μ = E(X)
∴ E(X) = 2k + 6k + 12k + 20k + 50k + 72k + 98k + 0
= 260k
= 5.2 …(i)
(iii) To find: Standard deviation of X
We know that,
Var(X) = E(X2) – [E(X)]2
= ΣX2P(X) – [Σ{XP(X)}]2
= [2k + 12k + 36k + 80k + 250k + 432k + 686k +0] – [5.2]2 = 1498k – 27.04
= 29.96 – 27.04
= 2.92
We know that,
standard deviation of X = √Var(X) = √2.92 = 1.7088
≅ 1.7
The probability distribution of a discrete random variable X is given as under:
Calculate :
(i) The value of A if E(X) = 2.94
(ii) Variance of X.
(i) Given: E(X) = 2.94
We know that, μ = E(X)
[given: E(X) = 2.94]
⇒ 2.94 × 50 = 69 + 26A
⇒ 147 – 69 = 26A
⇒ 78 = 26A
⇒ A = 3
(ii) We know that,
Var(X) = E(X2) – [E(X)]2
= ΣX2P(X) – [Σ{XP(X)}]2
= ΣX2P(X) – (2.94)2
Firstly, we find ΣX2P(X)
=19.06
Now, Var(X) = 19.06 – (2.94)2
= 19.06 – 8.6436
= 10.4164
The probability distribution of a random variable x is given as under:
where k is a constant. Calculate
(i) E(X) (ii) E (3X2) (iii) P(X ≥ 4)
Given:
We know that,
Sum of the probabilities = 1
⇒ k + 4k + 9k + 8k + 10k + 12k = 1
⇒ 44k = 1
(i) To find: E(X)
We know that, μ = E(X)
or
E(X) = ΣXP(X)
= 1 × k + 2 × 4k + 3 × 9k + 4 × 8k + 5 × 10k + 6 × 12k
= k + 8k + 27k + 32k + 50k + 72k
= 190k
= 4.32
(ii) To find: E(3X2)
Firstly, we find E(X2)
We know that,
E(X2) = ΣX2P(X)
= 12 × k + 22 × 4k + 32 × 9k + 42 × 8k + 52 × 10k + 62 × 12k
= k + 16k + 81k + 128k + 250k + 432k
= 908k
= 20.636
≅ 20.64
∴ E(3X2) = 3 × 20.64 = 61.92
(iii) P(X ≥ 4) = P(X = 4) + P(X = 5) + P(X = 6)
= 8k + 10k + 12k
= 30k
A bag contains (2n + 1) coins. It is known that n of these coins have a head on both sides whereas the rest of the coins are fair. A coin is picked up at random from the bag and is tossed. If the probability that the toss results in a head is 31|42, determine the value of n.
Given: n coins have head on both the sides
and (n + 1) coins are fair coins
Total coins = 2n + 1
Let events E1, E2 be the following:
E1 = Event that an unfair coin is selected
E2 = Event that a fair coin is selected
The Law of Total Probability:
In a sample space S, let E1,E2,E3…….En be n mutually exclusive and exhaustive events associated with a random experiment. If A is any event which occurs with E1,E2,E3…….En, then
P(A) = P(E1)P(A/E1)+ P(E2)P(A/E2)+ …… P(En)P(A/En)
Let “E” be the event that the toss result is a head
P(E|E1) is the probability of getting a head when unfair coin is tossed
P(E|E2) is the probability of getting a head when fair coin is tossed
So,
From the law of total probability,
∴ P(E) = P(E1) × P(E|E1) + P(E2) × P(E|E2)
(Given)
⇒ 31 × 2(2n+1) = 42 × (3n + 1)
⇒ 124n + 62 = 126n + 42
⇒ 2n = 20
⇒ n = 10
Hence, the value of n is 10.
Two cards are drawn successively without replacement from a well shuffled deck of cards. Find the mean and standard variation of the random variable X where X is the number of aces.
Let X denotes a random variable of number of aces
Clearly, X can take values 0, 1 or 2 because only two cards are drawn.
Total deck of cards = 52
and total no. of ACE cards in a deck of cards = 4
Now, since the draws are done without replacement, therefore, the two draws are not independent.
Therefore,
P(X = 0) = Probability of no ace being drawn
= P(non – ace and non – ace)
= P(non – ace) × P(non – ace)
P(X = 1) = Probability that 1 card is an ace
= P(ace and non – ace or non –ace and ace)
= P(ace and non – ace) + P(non – ace and ace) = P(ace) P(non – ace) + P(non – ace) P(ace)
P(X = 2) = Probability that both cards are ace
= P(ace and ace)
= P(ace) × P(ace)
We know that,
Mean (μ) = E(X) = ΣXP(X)
Also, Var(X) = E(X2) – [E(X)]2
= ΣX2P(X) – [E(X)]2
= 0.1629 – 0.0237
= 0.1392
∴Standard Deviation = √Var(X) = √0.1392 ≅ 0.373(approx.)
A die is tossed twice. A ‘success’ is getting an even number on a toss. Find the variance of the number of successes.
Let X be the random variable for a ‘success’ for getting an even number on a toss.
∴ X = 0, 1, 2
n = 2
Even number on dice = 2, 4, 6
∴ Total possibility of getting an even number = 3
Total number on dice = 6
p = probability of getting an even number on a toss
q = 1 – p
Now, the probability of x successes in n–Bernoulli trials is nCrprqn-r
Thus, P( x successes) = nCrprqn-r
=1
Also, Var(X) = E(X2) – [E(X)]2
= ΣX2P(X) – [E(X)]2
= 1.5 – 1
= 0.5
There are 5 cards numbered 1 to 5, one number on one card. Two cards are drawn at random without replacement. Let X denote the sum of the numbers on two cards drawn. Find the mean and variance of X.
Here, S = { (1,2),(1,3),(1,4),(1,5)
(2,1),(2,3),(2,4),(2,5)
(3,1),(3,2),(3,4),(3,5)
(4,1),(4,2),(4,3),(4,5)
(5,1),(5,2),(5,3),(5,4)}
Total Sample Space, n(S) = 20
Let random variable be X which denotes the sum of the numbers on the cards drawn.
∴ X = 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
At X = 3
The cards whose sum is 3 are (1,2), (2,1)
At X = 4
The cards whose sum is 4 are (1,3), (3,1)
At X = 5
The cards whose sum is 5 are (1,4),(2,3),(3,2),(4,1)
At X = 6
The cards whose sum is 6 are (1,5), (2,4),(4,2),(5,1)
At X = 7
The cards whose sum is 7 are (2,5),(3,4),(4,3),(5,2)
At X = 8
The cards whose sum is 8 are (3,5), (5,3)
At X = 9
The cards whose sum is 9 are (4,5), (5,4)
∴ Mean, E(X) = ΣXP(X)
= 6
Also,
= 39
Now,
Var X = ΣX2P(X) – [ΣXP(X)]2
= 39 – 36
= 3
If , and , then P(B | A) is equal to
A. 1|10
B. 1|8
C. 7|8
D. 17|20
Correct
We have,
We know that,
P(B|A) × P(A) = P(A∩B)
[Property of Conditional Probability]
Hence, Correct option is C
If P(A ∩ B) = 7|10 and P(B) = 17|20, then P(A|B) equals
A. 14|17
B. 17|20
C. 7|8
D. 1|8
Correct
We have,
We know that,
P(A|B) × P(B) = P(A∩B)
[Property of Conditional Probability]
Hence, Correct option is A
If P(A) = 3|10, P(B) = 2|5 and P(A ∪ B) = 3|5, then P(B|A) + P(A|B) equals
A. 1|4
B. 1|3
C. 5|12
C. 7|2
Correct
We have,
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B)
[Additive Law of Probability]
Now, We know that the Property of Conditional Probability:
P(A|B) × P(B) = P(A ∩ B)
…(i)
P(B|A) × P(A) = P(B ∩ A)
…(ii)
Multiplying eq. (i) and (ii), we get
Hence, the Correct option is D
If P(A) = 2|5, P(B) = 3|10 and P(A ∩ B) = 1|5, the P(A′|B′).P(B′|A′) is equal to
A. 5|6
B. 5|7
C. 25|42
D. 1
Correct
We have,
P(A’|B’) × P(B’) = P(A’ ∩ B’)
…(i)
P(B’|A’) × P(A’) = P(B’ ∩ A’)
…(ii)
On multiplying eq. (i) and (ii), we get
[∵P(A’ ∩ B’) = P[(A ∪ B)’]= 1 – P(A ∪ B)]
[Additive law of Probability]
Hence, the correct option is C
If A and B are two events such that , the P(A′ ∩ B′) equals
A. 1|12
B. 3|4
C. 1|4
D. 3|16
Correct
We have,
We know that,
P(A|B) × P(B) = P(A ∩ B)
[Property of Conditional Probability]
Now, P(A’ ∩ B’) = 1 – P(A ∪ B)
= 1 – [P(A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B)]
[∵P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B)]
Hence, the correct option is C
If P(A) = 0.4, P(B) = 0.8 and P(B | A) = 0.6, then P(A ∪ B) is equal to
A. 0.24
B. 0.3
C. 0.48
D. 0.96
Correct
We have,
P(A) = 0.4, P(B) = 0.8 and P(B|A) = 0.6
We know that,
P(B|A) × P(A) = P(B ∩ A)
⇒ 0.6 × 0.4 = P(B ∩ A)
⇒ P(B ∩ A) = 0.24
Now,
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B)
[Additive Law of Probability]
= 0.4 + 0.8 – 0.24
= 0.96
Hence, the correct option is D
If A and B are two events and A ≠ θ, B ≠ θ, then
A. P(A | B) = P(A).P(B)
B.
C. P(A | B).P(B | A)=1
D. P(A | B) = P(A) | P(B)
Correct
Given: A ≠ φ, B ≠φ
CASE 1: If we take option (A) i.e. P(A|B) = P(A).P(B)
LHS =
CASE 2: If we take option (B) i.e.
this is true, we all know that this is conditional probability.
CASE 3: If we take option C .i.e. P(A|B)×P(B|A) = 1
LHS = P(A|B) × P(B|A)
≠ RHS
Hence, the correct option is B
A and B are events such that P(A) = 0.4, P(B) = 0.3 and P(A ∪ B) = 0.5. Then P (B′ ∩ A) equals
A. 2|3
B. 1|2
C. 3|10
D. 1|5
Correct
We have,
P(A) = 0.4, P(B) = 0.3 and P(A ∪ B) = 0.5
Now,
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B)
[Additive Law of Probability]
⇒ 0.5 = 0.4 + 0.3 – P(A ∩ B)
⇒ P(A ∩ B) = 0.7 – 0.5
⇒ P(A ∩ B) = 0.2
∴ P(B’ ∩ A) = P(B’) P(A)
= [1 – P(B)]× P(A)
[sum of the probabilities of an event and its complement is 1]
= P(A) – P(A)P(B)
= P(A) – P(A ∩ B)
= 0.4 – 0.2
= 0.2
Hence, the correct option is D
You are given that A and B are two events such that P(B)= 3|5, P(A | B) = 1|2 and P(A ∪ B) = 4|5, then P(A) equals
A. 3|10
B. 1|5
C. 1/2
D. 3|5
Correct
We have,
Now, We know that
P(A|B) × P(B) = P(A ∩ B)
[Property of conditional Probability]
Now,
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B)
[Additive Law of Probability]
Hence, the correct option is C
In Exercise 64 above, P(B | A′) is equal to
A. 1|5
B. 3|10
C. 1|2
D. 3|5
Correct
Now, referring the above solution
Hence, the correct option is D
If P(B) = 3|5, P(A|B) = 1|2 and P(A ∪ B) = 4|5, then P(A ∪ B)′ + P(A′ ∪ B) =
A. 1|5
B. 4|5
C. 1|2
D. 1
Correct
We have,
Now, We know that
P(A|B) × P(B) = P(A ∩ B)
[Property of Conditional Probability]
Now,
P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B)
[Additive Law of Probability]
∴ P(A ∪ B)’ = P[A’ ∩ B’]
= 1 – P(A ∪ B)
and P(A’ ∪ B) = 1 – P(A’ ∩ B)
= 1 – [P(A) – P(A ∩ B)]
= 1
Hence, the correct option is D
Let P(A) = 7/13, P(B) = 9/13 and P(A ∩ B) = 4/13. Then P(A′|B) is equal to
A. 6/13
B. 4/13
C. 4/9
D. 5/9
Correct
Given, P(A) = 7/13, P(B) = 9/13 and P(A ∩ B) = 4/13
From Venn diagram,
Hence,
If A and B such events that P(A) > 0 and P(B) ≠ 1, then P(A’|B’) equals
A. 1 – P(A|B)
B. 1 – P (A’|B)
C.
D. P(A’) | P(B’)
We have P(A) > 0 and P(B) ≠ 1
By de Morgan’s Law:
P(A'∩B') = P(A∪B)’
If A and B are two independent events with P(A) = 3/5 and P(B) = 4/9, then P (A′ ∩ B′) equals
A.4/15
B. 8/45
C. 1/3
D. 2/9
Correct
As A and B are independent so A’ and B’ are also independent.
P (A’ ∩ B’) =P(A’).P(B’)
And, we know, P(A’) =(1-P(A)) and P(B’)=(1-P(B)
If two events are independent, then
A. they must be mutually exclusive
B. the sum of their probabilities must be equal to 1
C. (A) and (B) both are correct
D. None of the above is correct
Correct
Mutually exclusive are the events which cannot happen at the same time.
For example: when tossing a coin, the result can either be heads or tails but cannot be both.
Events are independent if the occurrence of one event does not influence (and is not influenced by) the occurrence of the other(s).
Eg: Rolling a die and flipping a coin. The probability of getting any number on the die will not affect the probability of getting head or tail in the coin.
So, if A and B are event is independents any information about A can not tell anything about B while if they are mutually exclusive then we know if A occurs B does not occur.
So independent events cannot be mutually exclusive.
Now to test if probability of independent events is 1 or not
Consider an example:
Let A be the event of obtaining a head.
P(A) = 1/2
B be the event of obtaining 5 on a die.
P(B) = 1/6
Now A and B are independent events.
So, P(A) + P(B)
Hence P(A) + P(B)≠ 1
It is true in every case when two events are independent.
Hence option D is correct.
Let A and B be two events such that P(A) = 3/8, P(B) = 5/8 and P(A ∪ B) = 3/4. Then P(A | B).P(A′ | B) is equal to
A.2/5
B. 3/8
C. 3/20
D. 6/25
Correct
Given, P(A) = 3/8, P(B) = 5/8 and P(A ∪ B) = 3/4
Now, We know that, P(A ∪ B)=P(A)+P(B)- P(A ∩ B)
P(A ∩ B)=
P(A ∩ B)=
So, P(A|B) = , then
P(A|B) =
P(A|B)=2/5
Now, For, P(A’|B)
P(A’|B)=
P(A’|B)=
P(A’|B)= 3/5
Therefore, P(A | B).P(A′|B)=
Hence, P(A | B).P(A′|B)=6/25
If the events A and B are independent, then P(A ∩ B) is equal to
A. P (A) + P
B. (B) P(A) – P(B)
C. P (A) . P(B)
D. P(A) | P(B)
Correct
If the events A and B are independent, then we know
P(A ∩ B)=P(A).P(B)
Prove: From the definition of the independent Event,
We know,
And, Also
Two events E and F are independent. If P(E) = 0.3, P(E ∪ F) = 0.5, then P(E | F)–P(F | E) equals
A. 2/7
B. 3/25
C. 1/70
D. 1/7
Correct
Given, P(E) = 0.3, P(E ∪ F) = 0.5
Also, E and F are independent, then
P (E ∩ F)=P(E).P(F)
We know, P(E ∪ F)=P(E)+P(F)- P(E ∩ F)
P(E ∪ F)=P(E)+P(F)- [P(E) P(F)]
0.5 = 0.3 + P(F)-0.3P(F)
0.5-0.3 =(1- 0.3) P(F)
P(F)=
P(F)=
Since P(E|F)-P(F|E)
P(E|F)-P(F|E)
P(E|F)-P(F|E)=1/70
A bag contains 5 red and 3 blue balls. If 3 balls are drawn at random without replacement the probability of getting exactly one red ball is
A. 45/196
B. 135/392
C. 15/56
D. 15/29
Probability of getting exactly one red ball
= P(R).P(B).P(B) + P(B).P(R).P(B) + P(B).P(B).P(R)
Refer to Question 74 above. The probability that exactly two of the three balls were red, the first ball being red, is
A. 1/3
B. 4/7
C. 15/28
D. 5/28
Correct
A bag contains 5 red and 3 blue balls
Total Balls in a Bag = 8
For exactly 1 red ball probability should be
Now, 3 Balls are drawn randomly then possibility for getting 1 red ball
P(E)=P(R).P(B)+P(B).P(R)
P(E) =
Hence, P(E) = 4/7
Three persons, A, B and C, fire at a target in turn, starting with A. Their probability of hitting the target are 0.4, 0.3 and 0.2 respectively. The probability of two hits is
A. 0.024
B. 0.188
C. 0.336
D. 0.452
Correct
Here, P(A)=0.4 P(B)=0.3 and P(C)=0.2
And, P(A’)=1-P(A)=[1-0.4] = 0.6
P(B’)=1-P(B)=[1-0.3] = 0.7
P(C’)=1-P(C)=[1-0.2] = 0.8
P(E)=[P(A)×P(B)×P(C’)]+[P(A)×P(B’)×P(C)]+[P(A’)×P(B)×P(C)]
[(0.4×0.3×0.8)+(0.4×0.7×0.2)+(0.6×0.3×0.2)]
[0.96+0.056+0.036]
0.188
Hence, Probability of two hits is 0.188
Assume that in a family, each child is equally likely to be a boy or a girl. A family with three children is chosen at random. The probability that the eldest child is a girl given that the family has at least one girl is
A. 1/2
B. 1/3
C. 2/3
D. 4/7
Correct
We can arrange the statement in set as
S={(B,B,B),(G,G,G),(B,G,G),(G,B,G),(G,G,B),(G,B,B),(B,G,B),(B,B,G)}
Let A be Event that a family has at least one girl then,
A={(G,B,B),(B,G,B),(B,B,G),(G,G,B),(B,G,G)(G,B,G),(G,G,G)
Let B be Event that eldest child is girl then,
B={(G,B,B)(G,G,B),(G,B,G),(G,G,G)
Now, (A ∩ B)={(G,B,B),(G,G,B),(G,B,G,)(G,G,G)
Since,
Hence,
A die is thrown and a card is selected at random from a deck of 52 playing cards. The probability of getting an even number on the die and a spade card is
A. 1/2
B. 1/4
C. 1/8
D. 3/4
Correct
Let A be Event for getting number on dice
And, B be Event that a spade card is selected
A={2,4,6}
B={13}
Since, P(A)=
P(B)
We know, If E and F are two independent events then, P(AՌB)=P(A).P(B)
P(A ∩ B)=
Hence, P(E1∩ E2)=
A box contains 3 orange balls, 3 green balls and 2 blue balls. Three balls are drawn at random from the box without replacement. The probability of drawing 2 green balls and one blue ball is
A.
B.
C.
D.
Correct
There are total 8 balls in box.
P(G) , Probability of green ball
P(B) , Probability of blue ball
Now, The probability of drawing 2 green balls and one blue ball is
P(E)=P(G).P(G).P(B)+P(B).P(G).P(G)+P(G).P(B).P(G)
Hence,
A flashlight has 8 batteries out of which 3 are dead. If two batteries are selected without replacement and tested, the probability that both are dead is
A.
B.
C.
D.
Correct
There are total number of batteries , n= 8
Number of dead batteries are = 3
Probability of dead batteries is
Now, If two batteries are selected without replacement and tested
Then, Probability of second battery without replacement is
Required probability =
Eight coins are tossed together. The probability of getting exactly 3 heads is
A.
B.
C.
D.
Correct
We know, probability distribution P(X=r)=nCr (p)r qn-r
Here. Total number coin is tossed, n =
The probability of getting head, p =1/2
The probability of getting tail, q = 1/2
Required probability = 8C3
Two dice are thrown. If it is known that the sum of numbers on the dice was less than 6, the probability of getting a sum 3, is
A.
B.
C.
D.
Correct
Let A be the event that the sum of numbers on the dice was less than 6
And, B be the event that the sum of numbers on the dice is 3
A={(1,4)(4,1)(2,3)(3,2)(2,2)(1,3)(3,1)(1,2)(2,1)(1,1)
N(A)=10
B={(1,2)(2,1)
n(B)=2
Required probability =
Required probability =
Hence, The probability is
Which one is not a requirement of a binomial distribution?
A. There are 2 outcomes for each trial
B. There is a fixed number of trials
C. The outcomes must be dependent on each other
D. The probability of success must be the same for all the trials
Correct
In the binomial distribution, there are 2 outcomes for each trial and there is a fixed number of trials and the probability of success must be the same for all trials.
Two cards are drawn from a well shuffled deck of 52 playing cards with replacement. The probability, that both cards are queens, is
A.
B.
C.
D.
Correct
Number of cards = 52
Number of queen = 4
Probability of queen out of 52 cards =
Now, According to the question,
A deck of card shuffled again with replacement, then
Probability of getting queen is , 4/52
Therefore, The probability , that both cards are queen is ,
Hence, Probability is
The probability of guessing correctly at least 8 out of 10 answers on a true-false type examination is
A.
B.
C.
D.
Correct
In the examination , we have only two option True and False.
So, The probability of getting True is , p= 1/2
And, similarly, probability of getting False is, q=1/2
The total number of Answer in examination , n=10
The probability of guessing correctly at least 8 it means r=8,9,10
We know, probability distribution P(X=r)=nCr (p)r qn-r
P(X=r)=P(r=8)+P(r=9)+P(r=10)
= 10C810C910C10
[45+10+1]
[
Hence, Probability is
The probability that a person is not a swimmer is 0.3. The probability that out of 5 persons 4 are swimmers is
A. 5C4 (0.7)4 (0.3)
B. 5C1 (0.7) (0.3)4
C. 5C4 (0.7) (0.3)4
D. (0.7)4 (0.3)
Correct
Total number of person , n=5
Total number of swimmers among total person , r=4
Probability of not swimmer , Q=0.3
So, The probability of swimmer , p=1-Q=0.7
We know, probability distribution P(X=r)=nCr (p)r qn-r
P(X) = nCr
P(X) =
Hence,5C4 (0.7)4 (0.3)
The probability distribution of a discrete random variable X is given below:
The value of k is
A. 8
B. 16
C. 32
D. 48
Correct
Given, Probability distribution table is given,
Now,
We know
K=32
Hence, The value of k is 32
For the following probability distribution:
E(X) is equal to :
A. 0
B. –1
C. –2
D. –1.8
Correct
Given, Probability distribution table is given,
Now,
E(X)=[(-4)×(0.1)+(-3)×(0.2)+(-2)×(0.3)+(-1)×(0.2)+(0×0.2)]
E(X)=[-0.4-0.6-0.6-0.2+0]
E(X)=[-1.8]
Hence, E(X) =-1.8
For the following probability distribution
E(X2) is equal to
A. 3
B. 5
C. 7
D. 10
Correct
Given, Probability distribution table is given,
Now,
Hence, E(X2) =10
Suppose a random variable X follows the binomial distribution with parameters n and p, where 0 < p < 1. If P(x = r) / P(x = n–r) is independent of n and r, then p equals
A. 1/2
B. 1/3
C. 1/5
D. 1/7
Correct
In binomial distribution, we know P(X=r) = nCr
where q=1-p
Therefore,
= nCr / nCr
= /
Since, nCr= nCn-r
Accorting to question, this expression is independent of n and r if
Hence, p =1/2
In a college, 30% students fail in physics, 25% fail in mathematics and 10% fail in both. One student is chosen at random. The probability that she fails in physics if she has failed in mathematics is
A.
B.
C.
D.
Correct
Let A denotes the event that students failed in physics.
According to question: 30% students failed in physics.
∴ P(A) = 0.30
Similarly, if we denote the event of failing in maths with B.
We can write that:
P(B) = 0.25
Also, probability of failing in both subjects can be represented using intersection as shown:
P (A ∩ B) = 0.1
Now we need find a conditional probability of failing of student in physics given that she has failed in mathematics.
We can represent the situation mathematically as-
P(A|B) =?
Using the fundamental idea of conditional probability, we know that:
P(E|F) =
where E & F denotes 2 random events.
∴P(A|B) =
⇒ P(A|B) =
Clearly our answer matches with option B.
∴Option (B) is the only correct choice.
A and B are two students. Their chances of solving a problem correctly are 1/3 and 1/4, respectively. If the probability of their making a common error is, 1/20 and they obtain the same answer, then the probability of their answer to be correct is
A.
B.
C.
D.
Correct
Let E denotes the event that student ‘A’ solves the problem correctly.
∴P(E) = 1/3
Similarly, if we denote the event of ’B’ solving the problem correctly with F
We can write that:
P(F) = 1/4
Note: Observe that both the events are independent.
∴ Probability that both the students solve the question correctly can be represented as-
P (E∩F) == P(E1) {say} {we can multiply because events are independent}
∴ Probability that both the students could not solve the question correctly can be represented as-
P(E’∩F’) == P(E2) {say}
Now we are given with some more data and they can be interpreted as:
Given: probability of making a common error and both getting same answer.
Note: If they are making an error, we can be sure that answer coming out is wrong.
Let S denote the event of getting same answer.
∴ above situation can be represented using conditional probability.
P(S|E2) = 1/20
And if their answer is correct obviously, they will get same answer.
∴P(S|E1) = 1
We need to find the probability of getting a correct answer if they committed a common error and got the same answer.
Mathematically,
i.e P(E1|S) = ?
By observing our requirement and availability of equations, we can make guess that Bayes theorem is going to help us.
∴Using Bayes theorem, we get-
P(E1|S) =
Using the values from above –
P(E1|S) =
Clearly our answer matches with option D.
∴Option (D) is the only correct choice.
A box has 100 pens of which 10 are defective. What is the probability that out of a sample of 5 pens drawn one by one with replacement at most one is defective?
A.
B.
C.
D.
Correct
This problem can be solved using Bernoulli trials.
Here n = 5 (as we are drawing 5 pens only)
Success is defined when we get a defective pen.
Let p denotes the probability of success and q probability of failure.
∴ p = 10/100 = 0.1
And q = 1 – 0.1 = 0.9
As we need to find probability of getting at most 1 defective pen.
Let X be a random variable denoting the probability of getting r number of defective pens.
∴ P (drawing atmost 1 defective pen) = P(X = 0) + P(X = 1)
The binomial distribution formula is:
P(x) = nCx Px (1 – P)n – x
Where:
x = total number of “successes.”
P = probability of success on an individual trial
n = number of trials
⇒ P(X = 0) + P(X = 1) =
∴ P(drawing at most 1 defective pen) =
⇒ P(drawing at most 1 defective pen) =
Our answer matches with option D.
∴Option (D) is the only correct choice.
State True or False for the statements in the Exercise.
Let P(A) > 0 and P(B) > 0. Then A and B can be both mutually exclusive and independent.
FALSE
For events to be mutually exclusive –
P(A∪B) = P(A) + P(B)
But as per the conditions in question, it is not necessary that they will meet the condition because it might be possible that
P(A ∩ B) ≠ 0
For events to be independent–
P(A ∩ B) = P(A)P(B)
Again P(A) > 0 and P(B)> 0 are not sufficient conditions to validate them.
Tip:you can also check by considering any simple example
State True or False for the statements in the Exercise.
If A and B are independent events, then A′ and B′ are also independent.
TRUE
As A and B are independent
⇒ P(A∩B) = P(A)P(B)
As, P(A’ ∩ B’) = P(A∪B)’ {using De morgan’s law}
As, P(A ∪ B)’ = 1 – P(A ∪ B)
As we know P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B)
⇒ P(A ∪ B)’ = 1 –[ P(A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B)]
⇒ P(A’ ∩ B’) = 1 - P(A) - P(B) + P(A)P(B) {as A & B are independent}
= [1 – P(A) ]– P(B) (1-P(A)]
⇒ P(A’∩B’) = (1–P(A))(1–P(B))
= P(A’)P(B’)
hence proved
State True or False for the statements in the Exercise.
If A and B are mutually exclusive events, then they will be independent also.
False
If A and B are mutually exclusive. It implies-
P(A∪B) = P(A) + P(B)
Through this equation we can’t prove in any way that
P(A ∩ B)= P(A)P(B).
So, it is a false statement.
State True or False for the statements in the Exercise.
Two independent events are always mutually exclusive.
False
If A and B are independent events. It implies-
P(A ∩ B) = P(A)P(B)
Through the above equation we can’t prove in any way that
P(A∪B) = P(A) + P(B)
It is only possible if either P(A) or P(B) = 0,which is not given in question.
So, it is a false statement.
State True or False for the statements in the Exercise.
If A and B are two independent events then P(A and B) = P(A).P(B)
TRUE
If A and B are independent events. It implies-
P(A ∩ B) = P(A)P(B)
Thus, from the definition of independent event we say that statement is true.
State True or False for the statements in the Exercise.
Another name for the mean of a probability distribution is expected value.
TRUE
Mean gives the average of values and if it is related with probability or random variable it is often called expected value.
State True or False for the statements in the Exercise.
If A and B are independent events, then P(A′ ∪ B) = 1 – P (A) P(B′)
TRUE
If A and B are independent events. It implies-
P(A ∩ B) = P(A)P(B)
∵ P(A′ ∪ B) = P(A’) + P(B) – P(A’ ∩ B)
and P(A′ ∪ B) represents the probability of event ‘only B’ excluding common points.
From Venn diagram we can see:
∴ P (A′ ∩ B) = P(B) – P (A ∩ B)
⇒ P (A′ ∪ B) = P(A’) + P(B) – P(B) + P (A ∩ B)
⇒ P (A′ ∪ B) = 1 – P(A) + P(A)P(B) {independent events}
⇒ P(A′ ∪ B) = 1 – P(A){1 – P(B)}
⇒ P(A′∪B) = 1 – P(A)P(B’) …proved
State True or False for the statements in the Exercise.
If A and B are independent, then
P (exactly one of A, B occurs) = P(A)P(B′)+P(B) P(A′)
TRUE
If A and B are independent events. It implies-
P(A ∩ B) = P(A)P(B)
P(A’ ∩ B) = P(A’)P(B)
And P(A ∩ B’) = P(A)P(B’)
P(exactly one of A, B occurs) = P(A’ ∩ B) + P(A ∩ B’)
⇒ P(exactly one of A, B occurs) = P(A’)P(B)+ P(A)P(B’)
∴Statement is true.
State True or False for the statements in the Exercise.
If A and B are two events such that P(A) > 0 and P(A) + P(B) >1, then
True
As, P(B|A) =
⇒ P(B|A) =
⇒ P(B|A) =
The above equation clearly implies that:
P(B|A) ≥ ;
As we need to add to get the equal term
⇒ LHS is greater.
State True or False for the statements in the Exercise.
If A, B and C are three independent events such that P(A) = P(B) = P(C) = p, then
P (At least two of A, B, C occur) = 3p2 – 2p3
True
Let A, B,C denotes occurrence of events A,B and C and A’,B’ and C’ not occurrence.
As, P(A) = P(B) = P(C) = p
And P(A’) = P(B’) = P(C’) = p
P (At least two of A, B, C occur) = P(A ∩ B ∩ C’) + P(A ∩ B’ ∩ C) + P(A’ ∩ B ∩ C)
∵ events are independent:
P (At least two of A, B, C occur) = P(A)P(B)P(C’) + P(A)P(B’)P(C)+P(A’)P(B)P(C) = 3p2(1-p) = 3p2 – p3
Hence, statement is true.
Fill in the blanks in the following question:
If A and B are two events such that
and , then p = _____
p = 1/3
As we know that:
P(A|B) =
∴ p =
⇒ 3p = 9p – 2
⇒ 6p = 2
∴ p = 1/3
Fill in the blanks in the following question:
If A and B are such that
,
then P(A') + P(B') = ..................
10/9
P(A’ ∪ B’) = P(A’) + P(B’) – P(A’ ∩ B’) {using union of two sets}
⇒ P(A’) + P(B’) = P(A’ ∪ B’) + P(A’ ∩ B’)
∵ P(A’ ∩ B’) = P(A ∪ B)’ {using De Morgan’s law}
⇒ P(A’ ∩ B’) = 1- P(A ∪ B) = 1 – 5/9 = 4/9
∴P(A’) + P(B’) = 2/3 + 4/9 = 10/9
Fill in the blanks in the following question:
If X follows binomial distribution with parameters n = 5, p and P (X = 2) = 9.P (X = 3), then p = ___________
p = 1/10
As n = 5 {representing no. of trials}
p = probability of success
As it is a binomial distribution.
∴ probability of failure = q = 1 – p
Given,
P(X = 2) = 9.P(X = 3)
The binomial distribution formula is:
P(x) = nCx Px (1 – P)n – x
Where:
x = total number of “successes.”
P = probability of success on an individual trial
n = number of trials
Using binomial distribution,
⇒ 5C2p2q5-2 = 95C3p3q5-3
⇒ 10p2q3 = 9×10p3q2
⇒ 10q = 90p {As , p≠0 and q ≠ 0}
⇒ q = 9p
⇒ 1-p = 9p ⇒ 10p = 1
∴p = 1/10
Fill in the blanks in the following question:
Let X be a random variable taking values x1, x2,..., xn with probabilities p1, p2, ..., pn, respectively. Then var (X) =
var(X) = E(X2) – [E(X)]2 , where E(X) represents mean or expected value for random variable X
Variance is nothing but the mean of deviation of Random variable from its expected value.
Var(X) = ∑pi(Xi – X)2.
On expanding we get the formula: var(X) = E(X2) – [E(X)]2
Note: You can remember this formula it is a direct formula question.
Fill in the blanks in the following question:
Let A and B be two events. If P(A | B) = P(A), then A is ___________ of B.
Independent
As, we know that-
P(A|B) =
but it is given that-
⇒ P(A ∩ B) = P(A)P(B)
This implies that A and B are independent of each other.
∴A is independent of B